Big headache for the world community
Laaska News May 26,2011
Sergei Strokan, columnist of the “Commersant” magazine:
Popular uprisings in Libya, which came just weeks after similar revolts in Tunisia and Egypt, made many Western analysts believe this was some sort of democratic revolution aimed at ousting the autocratic regime of unruffled Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi.
I think that those who believe once Gaddafi has left office the new leadership will follow the way of democratic reforms miss the point for a simple reason: as things stand now, the only unifying theme among the opposition is their desire to oust Muammar Gaddafi from power.
When we look at the political agenda spelt out by opposition more closely, we will see that it is quite a motley picture, which embraces people with different and sometimes opposite political views. We see some ex-bureaucrats of the former regime, who departed from Gaddafi, we see Islamic radicals, we see intellectuals who were not satisfied with what was going on in the country. And the answer to a simple question of what unites these people is quite simple too: they don’t want Gaddafi to be in power.
But one thing is to oust Gaddafi. The more difficult thing is how to implement the programme of democratic reform. And it seems again, as things stand now, the programme of the Libyan opposition is short on substance, and we don’t know what is going to happen to Libya once Gaddafi and his clan are stripped of power.
All in all, it seems that while the West is adopting this stiff approach using all its power to finish with the Libyan regime, leading world powers may face a very unpleasant reality in Libya after some time. They may realize that the regime that came to substitute Gaddafi is even worse, because it’s unpredictable. We can’t allow Islamic radicals to get the upper hand in the country. And this will be very big headache for the world community.