Four months of the Libyan crisis – INTERVIEW
Laaska News July 19,2011
Gennady Yevstafyev, PIR Center Senior Advisor:
We have already 4 months of the Libyan crisis; it is a very instructive situation. Some people in NATO thought at the beginning they could settle the problem of Gaddafi themselves, it didn’t work; then they brought Americans, it didn’t work; and they were trying to use all kinds of opposition groups, and these groups are infected by extremists and Islamic radicals and Europe is afraid of it, a very interesting situation.
The so-called NATO-American coalition is breaking every day. We know that Italy decided not to participate in military affairs of this coalition, now we understand that France is moving out, and what is left – Britain, Britain will disappear quite soon, and now we have Americans, which are left, and Americans are not in a position to participate in big numbers, though some people claim that those people who leave Afghanistan could be expected in Libya. Let us see.
The main problem of diplomacy is not to put your counterpart into a deadlock situation, and trying to put Gaddafi into the corner and then demand his capitulation didn’t work.
So now we have behind the scene search of pre-selling decisions for both sides, for Gaddafi and for the western coalition, and in this sense they don’t have intermediary among the western countries, that is why there are intermediaries coming from the African Union, African continent and from Russia, but once again I have to remind you, that in general this quickly cooked resolution of the Security Council 1973 was really a very bad example of bad diplomacy.
But the repetition of this kind of resolutions could not be allowed, and the Syrian case shows that the lesson was taken seriously. And I believe that in the long run Gaddafi showed tremendous resilience, in the final analysis there will be a sort of a compromise that allows Gaddafi to leave the country, sooner or later we will see a new regime in Libya, but what kind of regime – nobody knows, and those people in Benghazi, they don’t convince me of democratic intonations, so let us see, let us think about the case of Libya, which gives enough food for thought, not to repeat this kind of situations, because we should take it for granted that any kind of Security Council resolutions could be used in a broader sense to their own advantages and in this sense they don’t care about the people, they care about their real economic and political interests.
So in future we have to be very cautious in arranging this kind of interfering into the internal affairs of the countries.